Fri, Mar 12, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta
New York Rangers 5, Atlanta Thrashers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 312 | 114 | 19 | 535 |
| ATL | 08 | 112 | 111 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:49NYRVinny ProspalAssists: Marian Gaborik, Dan Girardi · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 8:30NYRMarian GaborikPPAssists: Chris Drury, Vinny Prospal · Snap, 0.22 xG2–0
- P1 13:26NYRVinny ProspalPPGWGAssists: Chris Drury, Ryan Callahan · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–0
- P2 2:33ATLClarke MacArthurPPAssists: Rich Peverley, Pavel Kubina · Snap, 0.14 xG3–1
- P2 17:32NYRMichael Del ZottoAssists: Marian Gaborik · Wrist, 0.16 xG4–1
- P3 11:26ATLRon HainseyAssists: Chris Thorburn · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–2
- P3 18:54NYRRyan CallahanENUnassisted · Slap, 0.67 xG5–2
Penalties (12)
- P1 7:56ATLJohan Hedberg: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 11:23ATLPavel Kubina: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:19ATLChris Thorburn: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 0:43NYROlli Jokinen: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:51NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P2 7:51ATLEric Boulton: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:52NYRMichal Rozsival: Boarding2 min
- P2 18:53ATLBryan Little: High sticking2 min
- P3 4:15ATLJim Slater: Holding2 min
- P3 8:33NYRArtem Anisimov: Holding2 min
- P3 13:18NYRJody Shelley: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:26ATLEvgeny Artyukhin: Charging2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jokinen won the faceoff against White
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ATL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ATL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ATL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).