Sun, Mar 14, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
St. Louis Blues 2, Minnesota Wild 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 07 | 118 | 113 | 238 |
| MIN | 37 | 15 | 08 | 420 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:54MINAndrew BrunetteAssists: Cam Barker, Mikko Koivu · Tip-in, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 13:12MINMikko KoivuPPAssists: Antti Miettinen, Martin Havlat · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–2
- P1 18:50MINGuillaume LatendresseGWGAssists: Martin Havlat, Greg Zanon · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–3
- P2 14:48MINAntti MiettinenAssists: Mikko Koivu, Andrew Brunette · Snap, 0.16 xG0–4
- P2 17:09STLPatrik BerglundPPUnassisted · Deflected, 0.33 xG1–4
- P3 6:08STLPaul KariyaAssists: T.J. Oshie, David Backes · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 3:58STLDJ King: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:58MINDerek Boogaard: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:58MINJohn Scott: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:58STLKeith Tkachuk: Roughing2 min
- P1 3:58STLDJ King: Hooking2 min
- P1 7:01MINJaime Sifers: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:52MINRobbie Earl: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P1 12:17STLDavid Backes: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 0:00MINNick Schultz: Holding2 min
- P2 5:34MINCam Barker: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:52MINMikko Koivu: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:14STLDavid Backes: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:15MINNick Schultz: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Berglund won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).