Sun, Mar 14, 2010·United Center, Chicago
Washington Capitals 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 09 | 09 | 311 | 00 | 429 |
| CHI | 212 | 18 | 01 | 02 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:00CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Patrick Kane · Snap, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 16:54CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.56 xG0–2
- P2 6:54CHIJohn MaddenAssists: Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–3
- P3 5:29WSHBrooks LaichPPAssists: Mike Green, Nicklas Backstrom · Snap, 0.33 xG1–3
- P3 7:32WSHNicklas BackstromAssists: Joe Corvo, Mike Green · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–3
- P3 7:45WSHEric FehrAssists: David Steckel, John Carlson · Slap, 0.14 xG3–3
Penalties (10)
- P1 5:11WSHAlexander Semin: Hooking2 min
- P1 6:32CHIAndrew Ladd: Cross checking2 min
- P1 12:16WSHAlex Ovechkin: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P1 12:16WSHAlex Ovechkin: Game misconduct10 min
- P1 16:26WSHAlexander Semin: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 0:00CHIAdam Burish: Slashing2 min
- P1 0:00WSHEric Belanger: Roughing2 min
- P1 0:00CHIColin Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:51CHIJordan Hendry: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P3 5:29CHIColin Fraser: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Belanger won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).