Tue, Mar 16, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
Montréal Canadiens 3, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 19 | 018 | 28 | 335 |
| NYR | 06 | 15 | 09 | 120 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:34MTLGlen MetropolitPPAssists: Andrei Markov, Scott Gomez · Slap, 0.30 xG1–0
- P2 2:02NYRSean AveryAssists: Matt Gilroy, Chris Drury · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–1
- P3 5:59MTLSergei KostitsynGWGAssists: Travis Moen, Dominic Moore · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
- P3 19:24MTLTomas PlekanecENAssists: Hal Gill · Wrist, 0.61 xG3–1
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:58NYRBrandon Prust: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 13:15MTLBrian Gionta: Holding2 min
- P1 15:59NYRVinny Prospal: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 4:04MTLAndrei Kostitsyn: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:10NYRArtem Anisimov: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:02NYRVinny Prospal: Slashing2 min
- P2 18:29MTLAndrei Kostitsyn: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:20MTLScott Gomez: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 19:05MTLBenoit Pouliot: Hooking2 min
- P3 19:53MTLScott Gomez: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:53NYRSean Avery: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:53NYRSean Avery: Slashing5 min
- P3 19:53NYRSean Avery: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gomez won the faceoff against Anisimov
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).