Tue, Mar 16, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Washington Capitals 7, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 215 | 416 | 18 | 739 |
| FLA | 113 | 115 | 19 | 337 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:46WSHAlexander SeminPPAssists: Brooks Laich, Nicklas Backstrom · Tip-in, 0.35 xG1–0
- P1 15:32WSHJason ChimeraAssists: Brendan Morrison, Shaone Morrisonn · Tip-in, 0.37 xG2–0
- P1 18:19FLASteve ReinprechtAssists: Dmitry Kulikov · Snap, 0.04 xG2–1
- P2 0:49WSHBrendan MorrisonAssists: Shaone Morrisonn, John Carlson · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–1
- P2 10:30WSHEric FehrGWGAssists: Brendan Morrison · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–1
- P2 14:06WSHBrooks LaichPPAssists: Joe Corvo, Mike Green · Wrist, 0.47 xG5–1
- P2 14:28FLAKamil KrepsAssists: Gregory Campbell, Radek Dvorak · Backhand, 0.21 xG5–2
- P2 15:58WSHNicklas BackstromAssists: Mike Knuble, Tyler Sloan · Wrist, 0.27 xG6–2
- P3 12:25WSHBrooks LaichAssists: Alexander Semin, Eric Belanger · Wrist, 0.16 xG7–2
- P3 18:27FLAMichal RepikAssists: Gregory Campbell, Kamil Kreps · Backhand, 0.22 xG7–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 2:49WSHShaone Morrisonn: Slashing2 min
- P1 4:52FLAShawn Matthias: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 13:02FLANick Tarnasky: Holding2 min
- P1 19:12FLABryan Allen: Delaying game2 min
- P1 19:15WSHNicklas Backstrom: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 4:40WSHMike Green: Kneeing2 min
- P2 13:31FLACory Stillman: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:20FLACory Stillman: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:20WSHAlexander Semin: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Weiss won the faceoff against Backstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).