Thu, Mar 18, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Phoenix Coyotes 4, Florida Panthers 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 010 | 016 | 319 | 01 | 2 | 446 |
| FLA | 19 | 28 | 06 | 01 | 1 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:53FLAStephen WeissPPAssists: Cory Stillman, Bryan McCabe · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P2 1:03FLADavid BoothAssists: Bryan McCabe, Nathan Horton · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 7:31FLACory StillmanAssists: Nathan Horton, Stephen Weiss · Backhand, 0.09 xG0–3
- P3 3:56PHXMartin HanzalPPAssists: Mathieu Schneider · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 4:39PHXLee StempniakAssists: Wojtek Wolski, Matthew Lombardi · Wrist, 0.22 xG2–3
- P3 19:00PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Mathieu Schneider, Derek Morris · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. FLA Steve Reinprecht stopped
- 2. PHX Wojtek Wolski stopped
- 3. FLA Nathan Horton scored
- 4. PHX Lauri Korpikoski scored
- 5. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
- 6. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
Penalties (5)
- P1 7:53FLABryan McCabe: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:22FLABryan Allen: Holding2 min
- P1 19:23PHXAdrian Aucoin: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:00FLARostislav Olesz: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 5:23PHXZbynek Michalek: Charging2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Weiss won the faceoff against Lombardi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).