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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 20, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

Chicago Blackhawks 4, Phoenix Coyotes 5 (SO)

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 60% of the time.

PHX winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
CHI18116212020438
PHX01117312051535

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 11:52CHITroy BrouwerAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–0
  2. P2 5:11CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Marian Hossa, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–0
  3. P2 9:20PHXWojtek WolskiAssists: Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
  4. P3 1:11PHXLee StempniakPPAssists: Adrian Aucoin, Mathieu Schneider · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
  5. P3 2:33CHIAndrew LaddAssists: Kris Versteeg · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
  6. P3 3:46CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Marian Hossa, Dave Bolland · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–2
  7. P3 6:53PHXLee StempniakAssists: Wojtek Wolski, Vernon Fiddler · Wrist, 0.23 xG4–3
  8. P3 14:53PHXAdrian AucoinAssists: Taylor Pyatt, Matthew Lombardi · Wrist, 0.07 xG4–4

Shootout

  1. 1. PHX Wojtek Wolski stopped
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
  3. 3. PHX Lauri Korpikoski stopped
  4. 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
  5. 5. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
  6. 6. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 4:18PHXAdrian Aucoin: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  2. P1 4:49CHITroy Brouwer: Tripping2 min
  3. P1 9:42PHXRadim Vrbata: Tripping2 min
  4. P1 13:13CHIBen Eager: Spearing double minor4 min
  5. P2 4:54PHXMatthew Lombardi: High sticking2 min · PPG
  6. P2 9:20CHIBen Eager: Slashing2 min
  7. P2 13:20PHXMartin Hanzal: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 1:01CHIBrent Sopel: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Bolland
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHIPHX
38Shots on goal35
2.7Expected goals3.3
63Shot attempts59
35Faceoffs won29
4Power plays5
10Penalty minutes8
13Hits24
8Blocked shots16
8Giveaways9
6Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 3.3 xGCHI 2.7 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 96/100 · #30 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.62 · 8 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 8% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +36 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 60% of the time.

PHX winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).