Sat, Mar 20, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
New York Islanders 0, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 05 | 012 | 09 | 026 |
| LAK | 19 | 07 | 010 | 126 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:35LAKBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Wayne Simmonds · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:31NYISean Bergenheim: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:31LAKFreddy Modin: Interference2 min
- P2 1:56LAKDrew Doughty: Holding2 min
- P2 6:13NYIJosh Bailey: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:42NYIJeff Tambellini: Boarding2 min
- P2 15:39LAKRandy Jones: Tripping2 min
- P3 3:53LAKSean O'Donnell: Hooking2 min
- P3 9:04NYIDylan Reese: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Park
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).