Mon, Mar 22, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Colorado Avalanche 3, Los Angeles Kings 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 14 | 09 | 28 | 00 | 321 |
| LAK | 14 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 423 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:14COLChris StewartAssists: Paul Stastny · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 9:51LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Jarret Stoll, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 15:41LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Anze Kopitar, Brad Richardson · Backhand, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 4:54COLPeter MuellerAssists: Milan Hejduk, Scott Hannan · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 9:55LAKRyan SmythAssists: Justin Williams · Wrap-around, 0.04 xG2–3
- P3 19:50COLTJ GaliardiAssists: Paul Stastny, Peter Mueller · Wrist, 0.43 xG3–3
- OT 3:40LAKDrew DoughtyPPGWGAssists: Jarret Stoll · Slap, 0.11 xG3–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:55COLKyle Cumiskey: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 15:27LAKMatt Greene: Holding2 min
- P2 0:45LAKBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:48LAKJeff Halpern: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:34LAKDustin Brown: Cross checking2 min
- P2 7:34COLCraig Anderson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:31LAKWayne Simmonds: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:13COLDarcy Tucker: Tripping2 min
- P3 13:56LAKWayne Simmonds: Slashing2 min
- OT 3:21COLRuslan Salei: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Duchene won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).