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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 23, 2010·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa

Philadelphia Flyers 0, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

0

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
PHI0901106026
OTT11006110226

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 10:34OTTChris KellyGWGAssists: Jarkko Ruutu, Jesse Winchester · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
  2. P3 0:18OTTDaniel AlfredssonAssists: Chris Phillips, Peter Regin · Wrist, 0.33 xG0–2
Penalties (16)
  1. P1 0:26PHIMike Richards: Holding2 min
  2. P1 4:59PHIDarroll Powe: Boarding2 min
  3. P1 7:55PHIJames van Riemsdyk: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 17:31OTTJarkko Ruutu: Holding2 min
  5. P2 5:36PHIDaniel Brière: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 9:06OTTChris Kelly: Hooking2 min
  7. P2 9:45PHIMike Richards: High sticking2 min
  8. P2 15:26OTTErik Karlsson: Tripping2 min
  9. P2 15:26OTTAndy Sutton: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 0:18PHISimon Gagne: Instigator2 min
  11. P3 0:18PHISimon Gagne: Instigator face shield2 min
  12. P3 0:18PHISimon Gagne: Fighting5 min
  13. P3 0:18OTTAnton Volchenkov: Roughing2 min
  14. P3 0:18PHISimon Gagne: Misconduct10 min
  15. P3 12:59OTTChris Phillips: Interference2 min
  16. P3 15:13OTTAndy Sutton: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0OTT
43% to win57% to win
← PHI attackOTT attack →
  1. P1 20:00Spezza won the faceoff against Richards
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHIOTT
26Shots on goal26
2.6Expected goals2.8
52Shot attempts58
19Faceoffs won28
6Power plays7
29Penalty minutes14
25Hits19
18Blocked shots12
8Giveaways10
7Takeaways14

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

OTT 2.8 xGPHI 2.6 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

OTTPHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

OTT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line OTT is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 9/100 · #1117 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.74 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 55% (winner's lowest chance)
PHI 100%5050%50OTT 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 54% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

Simulated goal difference (OTT − PHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).