Tue, Mar 23, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
San Jose Sharks 4, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 16 | 17 | 24 | 417 |
| MIN | 09 | 15 | 05 | 119 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:12SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Patrick Marleau, Manny Malhotra · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 8:35SJSDany HeatleyGWGAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Rob Blake · Backhand, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 12:44MINGuillaume LatendressePPAssists: Andrew Ebbett, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 0:17SJSTorrey MitchellAssists: Ryane Clowe, Rob Blake · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–1
- P3 19:18SJSJoe ThorntonENAssists: Ryane Clowe, Rob Blake · Backhand, 0.72 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:31MINJohn Scott: Boarding2 min
- P1 18:05SJSManny Malhotra: Interference2 min
- P2 0:34MINMikko Koivu: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:06MINNick Schultz: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:10SJSJoe Thornton: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:07MINGuillaume Latendresse: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 11:00SJSTorrey Mitchell: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 13:12MINCal Clutterbuck: Boarding2 min
- P3 16:29SJSDany Heatley: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).