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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 23, 2010·United Center, Chicago

Phoenix Coyotes 0, Chicago Blackhawks 2

Away

Phoenix Coyotes

0

Final

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.

CHI winsPHX wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
PHX0908011028
CHI01121605232

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 1:45CHIPatrick KaneGWGAssists: Troy Brouwer, Duncan Keith · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
  2. P2 7:16CHIMarian HossaAssists: Patrick Sharp, Dave Bolland · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 2:25PHXMatthew Lombardi: Holding the stick2 min
  2. P2 14:07CHIPatrick Sharp: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 15:20PHXLee Stempniak: Cross checking2 min
  4. P3 2:32CHIBrent Seabrook: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  5. P3 8:20CHINick Boynton: Hooking2 min
  6. P3 10:10PHXMartin Hanzal: Tripping2 min
  7. P3 11:45PHXDerek Morris: Hooking2 min
  8. P3 14:05CHIMarian Hossa: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHX00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← PHX attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Madden won the faceoff against Hanzal
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHXCHI
28Shots on goal32
2.7Expected goals3.0
54Shot attempts54
23Faceoffs won31
4Power plays4
8Penalty minutes8
24Hits20
11Blocked shots18
4Giveaways7
4Takeaways13

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 3.0 xGPHX 2.7 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIPHX

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.

Excitement 0/100 · #1221 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.57 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 54% (winner's lowest chance)
PHX 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +18 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.

CHI winsPHX wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHX), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).