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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 24, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 0, New York Rangers 5

Away

New York Islanders

0

Final

Home

New York Rangers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 92% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NYI01003014027
NYR315017212544

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:12NYRArtem AnisimovGWGAssists: Jody Shelley, Matt Gilroy · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–1
  2. P1 5:45NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Marc Staal · Snap, 0.42 xG0–2
  3. P1 8:30NYRMichael Del ZottoPPAssists: Marian Gaborik, Erik Christensen · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–3
  4. P3 10:44NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Dan Girardi, Erik Christensen · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–4
  5. P3 16:19NYRDan GirardiPPAssists: Sean Avery, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–5
Penalties (12)
  1. P1 2:30NYRBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 2:30NYITrevor Gillies: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 7:49NYITrent Hunter: Slashing2 min · PPG
  4. P1 11:47NYRBrandon Prust: Hooking2 min
  5. P1 15:59NYRMarc Staal: Tripping2 min
  6. P2 6:46NYITim Jackman: High sticking2 min
  7. P2 10:09NYRSean Avery: High sticking2 min
  8. P2 13:38NYITrent Hunter: Charging2 min
  9. P3 12:41NYITrevor Gillies: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 12:41NYIBlake Comeau: Roughing2 min
  11. P3 12:41NYITrevor Gillies: Roughing2 min
  12. P3 12:41NYITrevor Gillies: Misconduct10 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYR
43% to win57% to win
← NYI attackNYR attack →
  1. P1 20:00Drury won the faceoff against Nielsen
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYINYR
27Shots on goal44
2.8Expected goals6.8
63Shot attempts80
34Faceoffs won30
3Power plays6
27Penalty minutes11
35Hits30
22Blocked shots21
0Giveaways1
1Takeaways12

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYR 6.8 xGNYI 2.8 xG
02468P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYRNYI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 3/100 · #1201 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.49 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
NYI 100%5050%50NYR 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +14 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 92% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Simulated goal difference (NYR − NYI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).