Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark

New York Rangers 4, New Jersey Devils 3 (SO)

Away

New York Rangers

4

Final

Shootout

Home

New Jersey Devils

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.

NJD winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
NYR0411429041431
NJD19012211060338

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:21NJDIlya KovalchukAssists: Brian Rolston · Snap, 0.12 xG0–1
  2. P2 7:32NYRBrandon DubinskyPPAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Sean Avery · Snap, 0.04 xG1–1
  3. P3 3:53NJDPatrik EliasAssists: David Clarkson, Dainius Zubrus · Slap, 0.09 xG1–2
  4. P3 9:40NYRArtem AnisimovAssists: Brandon Prust, Jody Shelley · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
  5. P3 12:37NJDJamie LangenbrunnerAssists: Patrik Elias, Andy Greene · Slap, 0.02 xG2–3
  6. P3 19:43NYRChris DruryAssists: Erik Christensen, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.18 xG3–3

Shootout

  1. 1. NYR Erik Christensen scored
  2. 2. NJD Zach Parise stopped
  3. 3. NYR Artem Anisimov stopped
  4. 4. NJD Patrik Elias stopped
  5. 5. NYR Brandon Dubinsky stopped
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 2:19NYRMatt Gilroy: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  2. P1 6:55NYRJody Shelley: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  3. P1 6:55NJDAndrew Peters: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  4. P1 8:17NYRRyan Callahan: Holding2 min
  5. P1 9:01NYRJody Shelley: Fighting5 min
  6. P1 9:01NJDAndrew Peters: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 6:00NJDBrian Rolston: Interference2 min · PPG
  8. P2 8:06NJDZach Parise: Holding the stick2 min
  9. P2 15:16NYRSean Avery: Interference2 min
  10. P3 4:40NJDMike Mottau: Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NJD
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackNJD attack →
  1. P1 20:00Niedermayer won the faceoff against Drury
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRNJD
31Shots on goal38
2.7Expected goals3.1
43Shot attempts59
27Faceoffs won29
3Power plays3
13Penalty minutes13
20Hits22
13Blocked shots4
7Giveaways15
4Takeaways13

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NJD 3.1 xGNYR 2.7 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NJDNYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 92/100 · #70 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.64 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 3% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50NJD 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +46 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.

NJD winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).