Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 25, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Dallas Stars 0, San Jose Sharks 3

Away

Dallas Stars

0

Final

Home

San Jose Sharks

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 86% of the time.

SJS winsDAL wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
DAL0130707027
SJS015216110341

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 3:29SJSDan BoylePPGWGAssists: Manny Malhotra, Ryane Clowe · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–1
  2. P2 6:13SJSRob BlakePPAssists: Patrick Marleau, Joe Thornton · Slap, 0.32 xG0–2
  3. P3 7:41SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Devin Setoguchi, Dan Boyle · Backhand, 0.20 xG0–3
Penalties (15)
  1. P1 12:50SJSBrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 12:50DALKrys Barch: Fighting5 min
  3. P2 3:20DALMark Fistric: Holding2 min · PPG
  4. P2 4:49DALNicklas Grossmann: Tripping2 min · PPG
  5. P2 10:15SJSDan Boyle: Interference2 min
  6. P2 13:35DALNicklas Grossmann: Boarding2 min
  7. P2 16:24SJSTorrey Mitchell: Holding the stick2 min
  8. P3 14:03DALStephane Robidas: Boarding2 min
  9. P3 14:47SJSPatrick Marleau: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 14:47DALSteve Ott: Elbowing2 min
  11. P3 14:47DALSteve Ott: Roughing2 min
  12. P3 14:47DALSteve Ott: Roughing2 min
  13. P3 14:47DALSteve Ott: Misconduct10 min
  14. P3 15:05SJSJoe Thornton: Hooking2 min
  15. P3 17:32DALMike Ribeiro: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

DAL00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0SJS
43% to win57% to win
← DAL attackSJS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Ribeiro
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

DALSJS
27Shots on goal41
1.4Expected goals3.7
47Shot attempts64
27Faceoffs won35
2Power plays7
31Penalty minutes13
24Hits21
11Blocked shots9
6Giveaways14
1Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

SJS 3.7 xGDAL 1.4 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

SJSDAL

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it DAL. Dots are goals.

Excitement 4/100 · #1172 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.58 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 54% (winner's lowest chance)
DAL 100%5050%50SJS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +19 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 86% of the time.

SJS winsDAL wins

Simulated goal difference (SJS − DAL), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).