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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 27, 2010·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Detroit Red Wings 1, Nashville Predators 0 (SO)

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Shootout

Home

Nashville Predators

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
DET011015011012138
NSH01307012011033

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. No goals in regulation or overtime.

Shootout

  1. 1. DET Pavel Datsyuk stopped
  2. 2. NSH Cal O'Reilly stopped
  3. 3. DET Jason Williams stopped
  4. 4. NSH Martin Erat stopped
  5. 5. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
  6. 6. NSH David Legwand stopped
  7. 7. DET Johan Franzen stopped
  8. 8. NSH Marcel Goc stopped
  9. 9. DET Todd Bertuzzi scored
  10. 10. NSH Steve Sullivan scored
  11. 11. DET Valtteri Filppula stopped
  12. 12. NSH Cody Franson stopped
  13. 13. DET Drew Miller stopped
  14. 14. NSH Patric Hornqvist stopped
  15. 15. DET Tomas Holmstrom stopped
  16. 16. NSH J-P Dumont stopped
  17. 17. DET Patrick Eaves stopped
  18. 18. NSH Dustin Boyd stopped
  19. 19. DET Kris Draper stopped
  20. 20. NSH Colin Wilson stopped
  21. 21. DET Niklas Kronwall scored
  22. 22. NSH Francis Bouillon stopped
Penalties (5)
  1. P1 8:28DETJohan Franzen: Holding2 min
  2. P1 15:23DETNicklas Lidstrom: Interference2 min
  3. P1 19:08DETTomas Holmstrom: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 3:43NSHFrancis Bouillon: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 10:44NSHFrancis Bouillon: Holding2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

DET00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NSH
43% to win57% to win
← DET attackNSH attack →
  1. P1 20:00Legwand won the faceoff against Datsyuk
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

DETNSH
38Shots on goal33
2.4Expected goals1.8
67Shot attempts56
33Faceoffs won28
2Power plays3
6Penalty minutes4
17Hits31
11Blocked shots16
15Giveaways16
8Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NSH 1.8 xGDET 2.4 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NSHDET

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NSH is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.

Excitement 10/100 · #1103 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.78 · 0 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
DET 100%5050%50NSH 100%P1P2P3OTEnd

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

NSH winsDET wins

Simulated goal difference (NSH − DET), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).