Sat, Mar 27, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Colorado Avalanche 2, Phoenix Coyotes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 18 | 110 | 011 | 229 |
| PHX | 18 | 212 | 312 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:45PHXDerek MorrisAssists: Ed Jovanovski, Taylor Pyatt · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 8:25COLKevin PorterSHAssists: Kyle Quincey, Matt Hendricks · Slap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 6:20PHXWojtek WolskiAssists: Lee Stempniak · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P2 9:25PHXTaylor PyattGWGAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Ed Jovanovski · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–3
- P2 19:27COLMilan HejdukAssists: Matt Duchene, TJ Galiardi · Snap, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 4:56PHXLee StempniakAssists: Wojtek Wolski, Matthew Lombardi · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–4
- P3 16:37PHXLee StempniakPPAssists: Matthew Lombardi, Wojtek Wolski · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–5
- P3 18:28PHXVernon FiddlerENAssists: Petteri Nokelainen · Backhand, 0.48 xG2–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:37COLBrett Clark: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:27PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P1 18:56PHXTaylor Pyatt: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:56COLChris Stewart: Fighting5 min
- P3 7:09PHXSami Lepisto: Tripping2 min
- P3 16:24COLTJ Galiardi: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 17:07PHXEd Jovanovski: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Lombardi
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).