Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 27, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 4

Away

Vancouver Canucks

2

Final

Home

San Jose Sharks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.

SJS winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
VAN19015113237
SJS0731617430

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 9:38VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Henrik Sedin · Snap, 0.03 xG1–0
  2. P2 3:01SJSDany HeatleyPPAssists: Patrick Marleau, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
  3. P2 9:29SJSPatrick MarleauUnassisted · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–2
  4. P2 11:30SJSJoe PavelskiGWGAssists: Patrick Marleau, Rob Blake · Slap, 0.47 xG1–3
  5. P3 7:55VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Alexandre Burrows, Henrik Sedin · Slap, 0.31 xG2–3
  6. P3 19:49SJSRyane CloweENAssists: Patrick Marleau, Rob Blake · Wrist, 0.71 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 13:57VANHenrik Sedin: Cross checking2 min
  2. P1 15:03SJSDan Boyle: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 2:17VANKevin Bieksa: Hooking2 min · PPG
  4. P2 8:18VANMason Raymond: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 8:26SJSJoe Pavelski: High sticking2 min
  6. P2 17:06SJSNiclas Wallin: Hooking2 min
  7. P3 7:13SJSDan Boyle: Slashing2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0SJS
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackSJS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Sedin
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANSJS
37Shots on goal30
3.4Expected goals3.7
69Shot attempts52
25Faceoffs won34
4Power plays3
6Penalty minutes8
24Hits39
13Blocked shots15
10Giveaways17
7Takeaways11

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

SJS 3.7 xGVAN 3.4 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

SJSVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 45/100 · #678 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.24 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 35% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50SJS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +20 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 55% of the time.

SJS winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).