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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 28, 2010·United Center, Chicago

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

4

Final

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ182715420
CHI18015113236

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 8:58CHIDave BollandAssists: Brent Seabrook · Deflected, 0.16 xG0–1
  2. P1 10:44CBJAndrew MurrayAssists: Derick Brassard, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
  3. P2 13:25CBJJakub VoracekAssists: Derick Brassard, R.J. Umberger · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–1
  4. P2 19:53CBJMike CommodoreGWGAssists: R.J. Umberger, Jakub Voracek · Slap, 0.03 xG3–1
  5. P3 16:47CHIPatrick SharpSHAssists: Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–2
  6. P3 19:52CBJJakub VoracekENAssists: Rick Nash, Kris Russell · Wrist, 0.73 xG4–2
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 3:09CBJMarc Methot: High sticking2 min
  2. P1 16:49CHIKris Versteeg: Hooking2 min
  3. P1 17:26CHIJonathan Toews: Tripping2 min
  4. P2 3:01CBJTrevor Frischmon: Hooking2 min
  5. P2 0:00CBJAntoine Vermette: Roughing2 min
  6. P3 8:59CHIDuncan Keith: Tripping2 min
  7. P3 12:12CBJTrevor Frischmon: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 15:29CHIPatrick Kane: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Bolland
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJCHI
20Shots on goal36
2.2Expected goals3.2
31Shot attempts57
22Faceoffs won29
4Power plays4
8Penalty minutes8
16Hits25
8Blocked shots9
2Giveaways7
2Takeaways11

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 3.2 xGCBJ 2.2 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHICBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 44/100 · #683 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.20 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 29% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +23 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).