Tue, Mar 30, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
New York Rangers 4, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 04 | 315 | 18 | 427 |
| NYI | 29 | 06 | 112 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:09NYIMark StreitPPAssists: Frans Nielsen, John Tavares · Slap, 0.00 xG0–1
- P1 12:09NYIBlake ComeauAssists: Tim Jackman, Richard Park · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P2 1:14NYRVinny ProspalAssists: Michael Del Zotto, Olli Jokinen · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P2 12:57NYROlli JokinenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG2–2
- P2 17:15NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Aaron Voros, Chris Drury · Snap, 0.16 xG3–2
- P3 5:05NYRMarc StaalGWGAssists: Vinny Prospal, PA Parenteau · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–2
- P3 13:27NYIBlake ComeauAssists: Sean Bergenheim, Mark Flood · Tip-in, 0.04 xG4–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:12NYRVinny Prospal: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P1 15:22NYRBrandon Prust: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:28NYIKyle Okposo: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:09NYROlli Jokinen: Holding2 min
- P1 17:09NYIAndrew MacDonald: Holding2 min
- P2 1:34NYRMichal Rozsival: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:33NYRBrandon Prust: Boarding2 min
- P2 17:37NYITrevor Gillies: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Park
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).