Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 1, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 8

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Home

Los Angeles Kings

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 80% of the time.

LAK winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
VAN0821319330
LAK37212310829

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:26LAKAlex FrolovAssists: Dustin Brown, Jeff Halpern · Backhand, 0.19 xG0–1
  2. P1 14:01LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Jack Johnson, Ryan Smyth · Wrist, 0.40 xG0–2
  3. P1 18:02LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jack Johnson, Alex Frolov · Slap, 0.06 xG0–3
  4. P2 3:37LAKJarret StollPPGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.59 xG0–4
  5. P2 9:20LAKDustin BrownPPAssists: Ryan Smyth, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–5
  6. P2 12:43VANKyle WellwoodPPAssists: Pavol Demitra, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–5
  7. P2 13:22VANRyan KeslerAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–5
  8. P3 3:31LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jarret Stoll · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–6
  9. P3 4:49VANKyle WellwoodAssists: Michael Grabner, Pavol Demitra · Tip-in, 0.09 xG3–6
  10. P3 6:38LAKJustin WilliamsAssists: Randy Jones · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–7
  11. P3 15:42LAKMichal HandzusUnassisted · Wrist, 0.19 xG3–8
Penalties (11)
  1. P1 3:02LAKDrew Doughty: High sticking2 min
  2. P1 8:03LAKMatt Greene: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 8:03VANTanner Glass: Charging2 min
  4. P1 8:03VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
  5. P1 15:19VANAndrew Alberts: Tripping2 min
  6. P1 19:37LAKDrew Doughty: Delaying game2 min
  7. P2 3:24VANDarcy Hordichuk: Roughing2 min · PPG
  8. P2 6:55VANDarcy Hordichuk: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  9. P2 8:14VANChristian Ehrhoff: Cross checking2 min · PPG
  10. P2 12:08LAKRandy Jones: Cross checking2 min · PPG
  11. P3 3:52VANDarcy Hordichuk: Misconduct10 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Wellwood won the faceoff against Kopitar
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANLAK
30Shots on goal29
2.5Expected goals4.6
65Shot attempts52
34Faceoffs won30
3Power plays5
25Penalty minutes11
32Hits15
13Blocked shots15
14Giveaways14
5Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 4.6 xGVAN 2.5 xG
012345P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 62/100 · #464 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.60 · 6 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +13 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 80% of the time.

LAK winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).