Fri, Apr 2, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
San Jose Sharks 3, Minnesota Wild 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 211 | 09 | 18 | 328 |
| MIN | 07 | 211 | 011 | 229 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:19SJSManny MalhotraAssists: Rob Blake, Jamie McGinn · Tip-in, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 12:22SJSScott NicholAssists: Torrey Mitchell, Rob Blake · Backhand, 0.06 xG2–0
- P2 5:10MINCal ClutterbuckAssists: Guillaume Latendresse, Greg Zanon · Wrist, 0.34 xG2–1
- P2 6:59MINAntti MiettinenPPAssists: Andrew Brunette, Marek Zidlicky · Snap, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 16:09SJSLogan CoutureGWGAssists: Dan Boyle, Ryane Clowe · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 3:10SJSRob Blake: Hooking2 min
- P1 16:11SJSRyane Clowe: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 19:27SJSLogan Couture: High sticking2 min
- P2 5:45SJSDouglas Murray: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 9:30MINMikko Koivu: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:54SJSPatrick Marleau: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:12MINMarek Zidlicky: Interference2 min
- P2 18:19MINCody Almond: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:18SJSDevin Setoguchi: Too many men on the ice2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).