Sat, Apr 3, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
New York Rangers 4, Florida Panthers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 05 | 010 | 412 | 427 |
| FLA | 05 | 16 | 09 | 120 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 6:38FLAKeith BallardPPAssists: Shawn Matthias, Radek Dvorak · Snap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P3 0:18NYRMarc StaalAssists: Henrik Lundqvist · Snap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P3 9:36NYRBrandon PrustGWGAssists: Jody Shelley, Michael Del Zotto · Backhand, 0.07 xG2–1
- P3 11:06NYRChris DruryAssists: Aaron Voros, Marian Gaborik · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–1
- P3 19:00NYRMarian GaborikENAssists: Marc Staal, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.68 xG4–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:48NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
- P1 1:48FLANick Tarnasky: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:36NYRErik Christensen: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 4:38NYRMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:18NYRMichael Del Zotto: Interference2 min
- P3 4:44FLASteve Reinprecht: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:29NYRBrandon Prust: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Jokinen won the faceoff against Matthias
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).