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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 3, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Anaheim Ducks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1 (SO)

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Los Angeles Kings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.

LAK winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
ANA01009112021233
LAK11001005040129

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 19:40LAKJack JohnsonPPAssists: Ryan Smyth, Randy Jones · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
  2. P3 18:28ANASaku KoivuPPAssists: Bobby Ryan, Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
  2. 2. ANA Corey Perry stopped
  3. 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
  4. 4. ANA Teemu Selanne stopped
  5. 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
  6. 6. ANA Saku Koivu scored
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 18:05ANACorey Perry: Tripping2 min · PPG
  2. P1 19:53ANAJames Wisniewski: Holding2 min
  3. P2 8:41LAKWayne Simmonds: Roughing2 min
  4. P2 8:41LAKRaitis Ivanans: Fighting5 min
  5. P2 8:41ANASheldon Brookbank: Fighting5 min
  6. P2 8:41ANAKyle Chipchura: Roughing2 min
  7. P2 8:41ANAMike Brown: Roughing2 min
  8. P2 19:45LAKSean O'Donnell: Holding the stick2 min
  9. P3 4:38ANATroy Bodie: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  10. P3 17:47LAKJarret Stoll: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Kopitar
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANALAK
33Shots on goal29
3.5Expected goals2.9
72Shot attempts54
28Faceoffs won28
2Power plays4
15Penalty minutes11
37Hits29
5Blocked shots17
7Giveaways11
5Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 2.9 xGANA 3.5 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 46/100 · #664 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.46 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 9% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +39 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.

LAK winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).