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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 4, 2010·Wachovia Center, Philadelphia

Detroit Red Wings 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

PHI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Goal by Carcillo (Laperriere)+14 pts WP
  3. P1 0:27Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Boucher
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Boucher
  5. P1 2:33Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Boucher
  6. P1 4:30Shot by Filppula, saved by Boucher
  7. P1 4:54Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Boucher
  8. P1 5:15Shot by Miller, saved by Boucher
  9. P1 6:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Osgood
  10. P1 6:28Shot by Franzen, saved by Boucher
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Franzen, saved by Boucher
  12. P1 7:16Goal by Timonen (Laperriere, Boucher)+11 pts WP
  13. P1 7:30Shot by Brière, saved by Osgood
  14. P1 7:38Gagne: Holding (2 min)
  15. P1 8:59Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Boucher4v5
  16. P1 9:13Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Boucher4v5
  17. P1 10:50Shot by Asham, saved by Osgood
  18. P1 10:51Helm: Slashing (2 min)
  19. P1 11:59Shot by Richards, saved by Osgood5v4
  20. P1 12:43Shot by Carle, saved by Osgood5v4
  21. P1 13:06Shot by Asham, saved by Osgood
  22. P1 13:29Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Boucher
  23. P1 14:06Shot by Cleary, saved by Boucher
  24. P1 14:08Goal by Cleary (Kronwall, Eaves)+12 pts WP
  25. P1 14:46Shot by Timonen, saved by Osgood
  26. P1 16:17Shot by Cleary, saved by Boucher
  27. P1 16:22Shot by Rafalski, saved by Boucher
  28. P1 16:23Goal by Helm (Rafalski, Cleary)+17 pts WP
  29. P1 19:36Shot by Franzen, saved by Boucher
  30. P1 19:37Franzen: Roughing (2 min)
  31. P1 19:37Franzen: High sticking (2 min)
  32. P1 19:37Hartnell: Roughing (2 min)
  33. P1 19:37Pronger: Roughing (2 min)
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:26Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Boucher
  37. P2 0:50Shot by Krajicek, saved by Osgood
  38. P2 0:53Goal by Giroux, unassisted+18 pts WP
  39. P2 1:05Shot by Giroux, saved by Osgood
  40. P2 3:16Shot by Helm, saved by Boucher
  41. P2 3:44Shot by Filppula, saved by Boucher
  42. P2 7:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Osgood
  43. P2 7:15Holmstrom: Holding (2 min)
  44. P2 8:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Osgood5v4
  45. P2 8:25Shot by Carle, saved by Osgood5v4
  46. P2 10:03Shot by Powe, saved by Osgood
  47. P2 11:54Shot by Stuart, saved by Boucher
  48. P2 12:06Shot by Giroux, saved by Osgood
  49. P2 12:53Pronger: High sticking (2 min)5v6
  50. P2 13:07Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Boucher4v5
  51. P2 16:00Shot by Gagne, saved by Osgood
  52. P2 16:01Shot by Brière, saved by Osgood
  53. P2 17:36Goal by Asham (Timonen, Leino)+14 pts WP
  54. P2 18:43Laperriere: Charging (2 min)
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:28Shot by Powe, saved by Osgood4v5
  58. P3 1:25Shot by Stuart, saved by Boucher
  59. P3 2:22Goal by Datsyuk (Williams, Zetterberg)+14 pts WP
  60. P3 4:37Shot by Eaves, saved by Boucher
  61. P3 6:15Shot by Timonen, saved by Osgood
  62. P3 6:39Shot by Asham, saved by Osgood
  63. P3 8:19Shot by Cleary, saved by Boucher
  64. P3 8:30Shot by Richards, saved by Osgood
  65. P3 8:54Shot by Rafalski, saved by Boucher
  66. P3 10:22Carcillo: Roughing (2 min)
  67. P3 10:22Holmstrom: Roughing (2 min)4v5
  68. P3 10:28Shot by Rafalski, saved by Boucher4v4
  69. P3 11:29Shot by Richards, saved by Osgood4v4
  70. P3 13:10Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Boucher
  71. P3 14:04Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Boucher
  72. P3 14:33Shot by Franzen, saved by Boucher
  73. P3 16:23Shot by Cleary, saved by Boucher
  74. P3 16:55Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Boucher