Mon, Apr 5, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington
Boston Bruins 2, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 112 | 16 | 012 | 00 | 230 |
| WSH | 17 | 111 | 010 | 12 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:36WSHNicklas BackstromAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Mike Knuble · Snap, 0.07 xG0–1
- P1 19:58BOSDennis WidemanAssists: Zdeno Chara, Patrice Bergeron · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 7:55BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Milan Lucic, Mark Recchi · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–1
- P2 19:31WSHMike KnubleAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom · Deflected, 0.17 xG2–2
- OT 0:44WSHBrooks LaichPPGWGAssists: Alexander Semin, Nicklas Backstrom · Wrist, 0.48 xG2–3
Penalties (5)
- P2 1:03WSHShaone Morrisonn: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 3:16BOSDavid Krejci: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:57WSHTyler Sloan: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:59WSHBrooks Laich: Tripping2 min
- OT 0:24BOSDennis Wideman: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fleischmann won the faceoff against Bergeron
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).