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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 5, 2010·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Columbus Blue Jackets 1, St. Louis Blues 2 (OT)

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

1

Final

Overtime

Home

St. Louis Blues

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.

STL winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
CBJ111080603128
STL041160915234

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:10CBJDerick BrassardPPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Derek Dorsett · Tip-in, 0.22 xG1–0
  2. P2 10:39STLAndy McDonaldAssists: David Perron, Carlo Colaiacovo · Snap, 0.09 xG1–1
  3. OT 3:59STLErik JohnsonPPGWGAssists: Andy McDonald · Slap, 0.12 xG1–2
Penalties (14)
  1. P1 1:38STLT.J. Oshie: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
  2. P1 11:29CBJMarc Methot: Broken stick2 min
  3. P1 13:24STLBrad Boyes: Tripping2 min
  4. P1 16:42STLKeith Tkachuk: Boarding2 min
  5. P1 16:42STLKeith Tkachuk: Roughing2 min
  6. P1 16:42CBJMike Blunden: Roughing2 min
  7. P1 19:52CBJMike Commodore: Hooking2 min
  8. P2 3:26CBJMike Blunden: High sticking2 min
  9. P2 5:23CBJAnton Stralman: Cross checking2 min
  10. P2 11:58STLPaul Kariya: Tripping2 min
  11. P3 0:53STLDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
  12. P3 3:25CBJFedor Tyutin: Holding2 min
  13. P3 7:01STLDavid Perron: Slashing2 min
  14. OT 3:17CBJMarc Methot: Holding2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0STL
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackSTL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Tkachuk
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJSTL
28Shots on goal34
2.7Expected goals3.1
47Shot attempts61
26Faceoffs won28
6Power plays6
14Penalty minutes14
19Hits15
12Blocked shots12
4Giveaways6
3Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

STL 3.1 xGCBJ 2.7 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

STLCBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 45/100 · #669 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.45 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 32% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50STL 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +22 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 56% of the time.

STL winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (STL − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).