Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 8, 2010·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Anaheim Ducks 2, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Dallas Stars

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.

DAL winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
ANA061319010219
DAL01619117092351

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 6:32ANABobby RyanAssists: Ryan Carter · Wrist, 0.22 xG1–0
  2. P2 12:34DALJamie BennAssists: Jere Lehtinen, Mike Modano · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
  3. P3 15:16ANABobby RyanPPAssists: Corey Perry, James Wisniewski · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
  4. P3 18:13DALMike ModanoAssists: Trevor Daley, Jamie Benn · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–2

Shootout

  1. 1. DAL Brad Richards stopped
  2. 2. ANA Dan Sexton stopped
  3. 3. DAL Mike Modano scored
  4. 4. ANA Corey Perry stopped
  5. 5. DAL Jere Lehtinen scored
Penalties (6)
  1. P1 19:20ANASteve Eminger: Boarding2 min
  2. P2 9:07ANAJason Blake: Hooking2 min
  3. P2 14:48DALBrian Sutherby: High sticking double minor4 min
  4. P3 1:21DALBrenden Morrow: Tripping2 min
  5. P3 14:32DALBrenden Morrow: Interference2 min · PPG
  6. OT 3:22ANACorey Perry: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0DAL
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackDAL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Modano won the faceoff against Bonino
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANADAL
19Shots on goal51
2.4Expected goals4.5
49Shot attempts90
20Faceoffs won33
4Power plays3
6Penalty minutes8
35Hits26
22Blocked shots13
9Giveaways8
7Takeaways10

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

DAL 4.5 xGANA 2.4 xG
012345P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

DALANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

DAL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DAL is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 77/100 · #249 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.08 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 8% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50DAL 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +43 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.

DAL winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (DAL − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).