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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 8, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Phoenix Coyotes 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)

Away

Phoenix Coyotes

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Los Angeles Kings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.

LAK winsPHX wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
PHX080729032327
LAK0511019001224

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 7:48LAKDrew DoughtyAssists: Anze Kopitar, Justin Williams · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–1
  2. P3 9:16LAKJack JohnsonAssists: Ryan Smyth · Backhand, 0.10 xG0–2
  3. P3 12:43PHXMatthew LombardiAssists: Wojtek Wolski · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–2
  4. P3 14:07PHXTaylor PyattAssists: Zbynek Michalek, Vernon Fiddler · Tip-in, 0.05 xG2–2

Shootout

  1. 1. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
  2. 2. PHX Wojtek Wolski stopped
  3. 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
  4. 4. PHX Lauri Korpikoski stopped
  5. 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
  6. 6. PHX Radim Vrbata scored
  7. 7. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
  8. 8. PHX Adrian Aucoin scored
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 2:00LAKMatt Greene: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  2. P1 7:29LAKSean O'Donnell: Cross checking2 min
  3. P1 13:24LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
  4. P2 3:43PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
  5. P2 3:43LAKRaitis Ivanans: Fighting5 min
  6. P2 11:30LAKRandy Jones: High sticking double minor4 min
  7. P2 16:02LAKDustin Brown: Interference2 min
  8. P2 16:02PHXJim Vandermeer: Roughing2 min
  9. P3 0:12PHXMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
  10. P3 0:21LAKMichal Handzus: High sticking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHX00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← PHX attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Stoll
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHXLAK
27Shots on goal24
1.5Expected goals1.6
54Shot attempts48
23Faceoffs won34
6Power plays1
9Penalty minutes19
34Hits37
9Blocked shots12
13Giveaways17
4Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 1.6 xGPHX 1.5 xG
00.511.5P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKPHX

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.

Excitement 67/100 · #400 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.61 · 4 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 4% (winner's lowest chance)
PHX 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +34 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 52% of the time.

LAK winsPHX wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − PHX), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).