Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 9, 2010·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Anaheim Ducks 3, St. Louis Blues 6

Away

Anaheim Ducks

3

Final

Home

St. Louis Blues

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsANA wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
ANA1621505326
STL112118418648

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:36ANAMatt BeleskeyUnassisted · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–0
  2. P1 13:58STLLars EllerAssists: Jonas Junland, Carlo Colaiacovo · Deflected, 0.05 xG1–1
  3. P2 3:49STLEric BrewerAssists: David Perron, Andy McDonald · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
  4. P2 8:25ANABobby RyanUnassisted · Backhand, 0.07 xG2–2
  5. P2 15:35ANAMatt BeleskeyAssists: Corey Perry, Bobby Ryan · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
  6. P3 3:29STLCarlo ColaiacovoPPAssists: Keith Tkachuk, Andy McDonald · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–3
  7. P3 16:10STLJay McClementGWGAssists: Carlo Colaiacovo, Mike Weaver · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–4
  8. P3 16:33STLAndy McDonaldAssists: Keith Tkachuk, David Perron · Tip-in, 0.18 xG3–5
  9. P3 17:59STLDavid BackesPPAssists: David Perron, Jonas Junland · Wrist, 0.48 xG3–6
Penalties (16)
  1. P1 6:36STLDavid Backes: Interference2 min
  2. P1 12:42STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 12:42ANAMike Brown: Fighting5 min
  4. P2 1:08ANARyan Carter: Roughing2 min
  5. P2 17:04STLDavid Perron: Tripping2 min
  6. P2 18:39STLEric Brewer: Roughing2 min
  7. P2 18:39ANANick Bonino: Roughing2 min
  8. P3 2:41ANAKyle Chipchura: Hooking2 min · PPG
  9. P3 8:04ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 17:05STLEric Brewer: Cross checking2 min
  11. P3 17:05STLEric Brewer: Roughing2 min
  12. P3 17:05ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min · PPG
  13. P3 17:05ANASheldon Brookbank: Roughing2 min
  14. P3 17:05ANABrendan Mikkelson: Roughing2 min
  15. P3 17:05ANABrendan Mikkelson: Roughing2 min
  16. P3 17:05ANASheldon Brookbank: Misconduct10 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

ANA00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0STL
43% to win57% to win
← ANA attackSTL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Ryan won the faceoff against Tkachuk
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

ANASTL
26Shots on goal48
2.4Expected goals5.2
45Shot attempts79
33Faceoffs won26
2Power plays4
31Penalty minutes15
17Hits21
13Blocked shots6
3Giveaways9
2Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

STL 5.2 xGANA 2.4 xG
012345P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

STLANA

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.

Excitement 86/100 · #145 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.00 · 9 goals in reachComeback index 26% (winner's lowest chance)
ANA 100%5050%50STL 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +38 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsANA wins

Simulated goal difference (STL − ANA), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).