Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 9, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver

Chicago Blackhawks 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.

COL winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CHI21719211537
COL07111114232

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 6:20CHIColin FraserAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
  2. P1 10:55CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Dustin Byfuglien · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
  3. P2 7:21CHIPatrick SharpGWGAssists: Jonathan Toews, Brent Sopel · Wrist, 0.12 xG3–0
  4. P2 17:36COLRyan StoaAssists: Paul Stastny, Ruslan Salei · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
  5. P3 12:49COLDarcy TuckerAssists: Brandon Yip, Ryan Wilson · Wrist, 0.30 xG3–2
  6. P3 13:27CHIColin FraserAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Ben Eager · Wrist, 0.17 xG4–2
  7. P3 18:39CHIKris VersteegENAssists: Andrew Ladd · Wrist, 0.68 xG5–2
Penalties (6)
  1. P1 9:54COLChris Stewart: Holding2 min · PPG
  2. P2 1:05COLBrandon Yip: High sticking double minor4 min
  3. P2 15:54CHIDuncan Keith: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 17:18COLDarcy Tucker: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  5. P3 1:25COLKyle Cumiskey: Holding2 min
  6. P3 10:49CHIAndrew Ladd: Slashing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0COL
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackCOL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Stastny
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHICOL
37Shots on goal32
3.4Expected goals3.2
70Shot attempts53
24Faceoffs won23
5Power plays2
4Penalty minutes10
12Hits16
14Blocked shots15
8Giveaways12
15Takeaways13

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

COL 3.2 xGCHI 3.4 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

COLCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 69/100 · #361 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.03 · 7 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50COL 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +15 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 54% of the time.

COL winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (COL − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).