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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 11, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver

Los Angeles Kings 2, Colorado Avalanche 1 (OT)

Away

Los Angeles Kings

2

Final

Overtime

Home

Colorado Avalanche

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsLAK wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTTotal
LAK040911812233
COL1801001301132

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 9:02COLRyan StoaAssists: Milan Hejduk, Ryan Wilson · Wrist, 0.46 xG0–1
  2. P3 15:28LAKJarret StollAssists: Matt Greene, Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.15 xG1–1
  3. OT 1:31LAKDustin BrownGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Sean O'Donnell · Wrist, 0.41 xG2–1
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 1:57LAKJustin Williams: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 13:28LAKScott Parse: Cross checking2 min
  3. P2 0:52COLJohn-Michael Liles: Tripping2 min
  4. P2 3:07LAKRaitis Ivanans: Too many men on the ice2 min
  5. P2 10:28COLAdam Foote: Holding2 min
  6. P2 0:00COLCody McLeod: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  7. P2 0:00LAKWayne Simmonds: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

LAK00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0COL
43% to win57% to win
← LAK attackCOL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against O'Reilly
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

LAKCOL
33Shots on goal32
2.5Expected goals3.7
61Shot attempts44
32Faceoffs won18
2Power plays3
8Penalty minutes6
6Hits15
8Blocked shots20
9Giveaways3
3Takeaways7

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

COL 3.7 xGLAK 2.5 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

COLLAK

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.

Excitement 40/100 · #740 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.37 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 13% (winner's lowest chance)
LAK 100%5050%50COL 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +36 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 71% of the time.

COL winsLAK wins

Simulated goal difference (COL − LAK), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).