Sun, Apr 11, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Pittsburgh Penguins 6, New York Islanders 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 312 | 29 | 013 | 13 | 637 |
| NYI | 110 | 116 | 39 | 03 | 538 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:09PITEvgeni MalkinAssists: Alex Goligoski, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.29 xG1–0
- P1 6:35PITEric GodardAssists: Sidney Crosby, Sergei Gonchar · Wrist, 0.30 xG2–0
- P1 17:03PITSidney CrosbyAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Pascal Dupuis · Snap, 0.22 xG3–0
- P1 19:16NYIJohn TavaresPPAssists: Mark Streit, Kyle Okposo · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–1
- P2 0:55PITSidney CrosbyAssists: Max Talbot · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–1
- P2 1:55NYIMatt MoulsonPPAssists: Mark Streit, Frans Nielsen · Tip-in, 0.13 xG4–2
- P2 11:09PITEvgeni MalkinPPAssists: Sidney Crosby, Alex Goligoski · Slap, 0.08 xG5–2
- P3 4:29NYIKyle OkposoAssists: Mark Streit, John Tavares · Wrist, 0.14 xG5–3
- P3 4:53NYIJon SimAssists: Trent Hunter, Jack Hillen · Tip-in, 0.26 xG5–4
- P3 15:47NYIFreddy MeyerAssists: Kyle Okposo, Matt Moulson · Wrist, 0.04 xG5–5
- OT 4:25PITJordan LeopoldGWGAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Mark Eaton · Wrist, 0.12 xG6–5
Penalties (25)
- P1 3:30PITCraig Adams: Tripping2 min
- P1 6:05NYIJoel Rechlicz: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:05PITMike Rupp: Fighting5 min
- P1 8:55NYITrevor Gillies: Interference2 min
- P1 11:28PITJordan Staal: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:35NYIMark Streit: Interference2 min
- P1 14:21PITBill Guerin: Interference2 min
- P1 18:18PITJordan Staal: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:54PITKris Letang: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:17PITPascal Dupuis: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 1:17NYIJack Hillen: Interference2 min
- P2 1:17PITSidney Crosby: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:17NYIJoel Rechlicz: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:17PITEric Godard: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:17NYIJoel Rechlicz: Misconduct10 min
- P2 3:17PITEvgeni Malkin: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 3:17NYITim Jackman: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 5:52NYITim Jackman: Misconduct10 min
- P2 5:52PITEvgeni Malkin: Interference2 min
- P2 5:52PITEvgeni Malkin: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P2 10:41NYIMicheal Haley: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:57NYIMicheal Haley: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 19:28PITPascal Dupuis: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:32NYIBruno Gervais: Holding2 min
- P3 10:40NYIJack Hillen: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nielsen won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).