Fri, Oct 8, 2010·Ericsson Globe, StockholmNeutral site
San Jose Sharks 3, Columbus Blue Jackets 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 60% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 210 | 014 | 14 | 328 |
| CBJ | 211 | 012 | 09 | 232 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:11SJSTorrey MitchellAssists: Ryane Clowe, Joe Pavelski · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 10:57SJSJoe ThorntonPPAssists: Joe Pavelski, Antti Niemi · Slap, 0.04 xG2–0
- P1 16:55CBJKristian HuseliusPPAssists: Nikita Filatov, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–1
- P1 17:10CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Ethan Moreau, Samuel Pahlsson · Deflected, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 10:15SJSLogan CouturePPGWGAssists: Ryane Clowe, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
Penalties (21)
- P1 4:10SJSDany Heatley: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 6:03SJSNiclas Wallin: Slashing2 min
- P1 9:26CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 9:26SJSFrazer McLaren: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:25CBJDerek Dorsett: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:46CBJKristian Huselius: Tripping2 min
- P1 16:31SJSTorrey Mitchell: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:10SJSScott Nichol: Slashing2 min
- P2 2:10CBJDerek MacKenzie: Cross checking2 min
- P2 3:48SJSDany Heatley: Cross checking2 min
- P2 6:36CBJEthan Moreau: Charging2 min
- P2 8:38CBJJan Hejda: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:38SJSRyane Clowe: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:38CBJMike Commodore: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:38SJSRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P2 13:07SJSDouglas Murray: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:36CBJAnton Stralman: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:56SJSNiclas Wallin: Diving2 min
- P3 2:56CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:13SJSJamie McGinn: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:26CBJMike Commodore: Boarding2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestClowe – Pavelski – Mitchell6:47
xG 0.17–0.03 (85%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
- Marleau – Heatley – Couture7:11
xG 0.17–0.16 (51%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Thornton – Setoguchi – McGinn5:49
xG 0.03–0.53 (6%)attempts 2–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHuskins – Demers7:00
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Boyle – Murray10:08
xG 0.25–0.23 (52%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Wallin – Vlasic10:18
xG 0.12–0.66 (15%)attempts 1–17goals 0–1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMoreau – Pahlsson – Umberger7:34
xG 0.53–0.09 (86%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Huselius – Vermette – Nash8:51
xG 0.29–0.05 (86%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Brassard – Voracek – Filatov7:14
xG 0.02–0.18 (11%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Methot9:15
xG 0.81–0.17 (83%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Commodore – Tyutin8:04
xG 0.16–0.15 (52%)attempts 11–4goals 0–1
- Hejda – Stralman10:49
xG 0.26–0.26 (49%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 60% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).