Sat, Oct 9, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Los Angeles Kings 2, Vancouver Canucks 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 011 | 07 | 18 | 06 | 2 | 232 |
| VAN | 011 | 16 | 07 | 00 | 0 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:58VANChristian EhrhoffPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.24 xG0–1
- P3 15:55LAKJustin WilliamsPPAssists: Michal Handzus, Dustin Brown · Tip-in, 0.45 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. VAN Mason Raymond stopped
- 2. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 3. VAN Ryan Kesler stopped
- 4. LAK Jack Johnson scored
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:27LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Interference2 min
- P1 9:55VANChristian Ehrhoff: Holding2 min
- P1 14:13VANKevin Bieksa: Elbowing2 min
- P1 19:06VANMikael Samuelsson: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 7:09VANAlexander Edler: Elbowing2 min
- P2 11:15LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:48LAKJack Johnson: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:17LAKAlexei Ponikarovsky: Boarding2 min
- P3 3:38LAKDrew Doughty: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:15VANRyan Kesler: Interference2 min · PPG
- OT 2:35VANKevin Bieksa: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestWilliams – Stoll – Richardson7:08
xG 0.14–0.04 (78%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Westgarth – Clifford – Schenn4:36
xG 0.17–0.14 (55%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Smyth – Brown – Kopitar9:14
xG 0.25–0.31 (45%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds7:31
xG 0.15–0.26 (36%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Johnson12:54
xG 0.37–0.26 (59%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Doughty13:01
xG 0.24–0.15 (61%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Scuderi2:49
xG 0.19–0.19 (49%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSamuelsson – Sedin – Sedin12:54
xG 0.51–0.42 (55%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Schaefer – Malhotra – Hansen7:32
xG 0.30–0.24 (56%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Desbiens – Bolduc – Glass5:00
xG 0.09–0.09 (49%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Torres – Kesler – Raymond10:10
xG 0.20–0.26 (43%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAlberts – Ballard11:18
xG 0.46–0.10 (82%)attempts 9–5goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa13:15
xG 0.28–0.39 (42%)attempts 8–9goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Edler14:54
xG 0.35–0.69 (34%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).