Fri, Oct 15, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 010 | 08 | 18 | 126 |
| LAK | 16 | 14 | 29 | 419 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48LAKJarret StollAssists: Jack Johnson, Davis Drewiske · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P2 3:36LAKJustin WilliamsGWGAssists: Jake Muzzin, Ryan Smyth · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
- P3 6:53VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.08 xG1–2
- P3 7:43LAKDustin BrownAssists: Anze Kopitar, Ryan Smyth · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–3
- P3 12:53LAKDustin BrownAssists: Alexei Ponikarovsky, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–4
Penalties (13)
- P1 4:52VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:37LAKDrew Doughty: High sticking2 min
- P1 12:30VANJannik Hansen: Interference2 min
- P1 16:46LAKJarret Stoll: Tripping2 min
- P2 1:37LAKWayne Simmonds: Fighting5 min
- P2 1:37VANAndrew Alberts: Fighting5 min
- P2 10:36VANJannik Hansen: Boarding2 min
- P2 14:52LAKAnze Kopitar: Holding2 min
- P3 1:55VANRaffi Torres: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 15:23VANRaffi Torres: Tripping2 min
- P3 18:37LAKJack Johnson: Holding2 min
- P3 19:33LAKDustin Brown: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:55VANRyan Kesler: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Hansen – Raymond7:10
xG 0.37–0.00 (100%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Samuelsson – Sedin – Sedin8:19
xG 0.37–0.18 (67%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Samuelsson – Torres4:08
xG 0.09–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Desbiens – Glass – Rypien5:19
xG 0.09–0.04 (68%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Edler12:22
xG 0.46–0.18 (71%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Alberts2:29
xG 0.06–0.08 (43%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa12:44
xG 0.36–0.42 (46%)attempts 9–6goals 0–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSmyth – Williams – Stoll12:22
xG 0.61–0.22 (73%)attempts 12–12goals 2–0
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds6:40
xG 0.19–0.10 (66%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Brown – Kopitar – Loktionov9:37
xG 0.23–0.15 (61%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Richardson – Westgarth – Schenn2:02
xG 0.09–0.10 (47%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Johnson14:46
xG 0.87–0.38 (70%)attempts 14–13goals 2–0
- Mitchell – Scuderi2:45
xG 0.07–0.03 (72%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Muzzin – Drewiske10:55
xG 0.26–0.36 (42%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).