Tue, Oct 19, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Vancouver Canucks 2, Minnesota Wild 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 17 | 011 | 19 | 227 |
| MIN | 311 | 37 | 06 | 624 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:58VANDaniel SedinAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–0
- P1 6:04MINMarek ZidlickyPPAssists: Matt Cullen, Antti Miettinen · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P1 7:20MINGuillaume LatendresseAssists: Justin Falk, Martin Havlat · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P1 18:10MINCal ClutterbuckPPGWGAssists: Guillaume Latendresse, Martin Havlat · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–3
- P2 7:54MINJohn MaddenAssists: Brent Burns, Nick Schultz · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–4
- P2 12:21MINAndrew BrunetteAssists: Marek Zidlicky, Antti Miettinen · Snap, 0.10 xG1–5
- P2 13:46MINMatt CullenPPAssists: Mikko Koivu, Marek Zidlicky · Slap, 0.07 xG1–6
- P3 18:31VANDaniel SedinPPAssists: Henrik Sedin, Mikael Samuelsson · Snap, 0.11 xG2–6
Penalties (14)
- P1 2:05MINCal Clutterbuck: Interference2 min
- P1 5:29VANChristian Ehrhoff: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 7:48MINGreg Zanon: Interference2 min
- P1 10:52VANRick Rypien: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:52MINBrad Staubitz: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:30VANMikael Samuelsson: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:51MINEric Nystrom: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 13:38MINBrad Staubitz: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:38VANRick Rypien: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:38VANRick Rypien: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:38VANRick Rypien: Misconduct10 min
- P2 15:06MINMatt Cullen: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:04MINMatt Cullen: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:10MINNick Schultz: High sticking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Malhotra won the faceoff against Cullen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSedin – Sedin – Raymond6:49
xG 0.29–0.08 (78%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Schaefer – Desbiens – Glass2:39
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Samuelsson – Torres5:05
xG 0.10–0.08 (55%)attempts 4–3goals 0–1
- Schaefer – Kesler – Hansen4:50
xG 0.10–0.09 (54%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Alberts8:55
xG 0.32–0.23 (58%)attempts 14–7goals 0–0
- Ehrhoff – Edler4:41
xG 0.10–0.08 (55%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Rome6:03
xG 0.04–0.07 (37%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestBrunette – Miettinen – Koivu9:21
xG 0.18–0.08 (69%)attempts 5–5goals 1–0
- Kobasew – Brodziak – Staubitz6:59
xG 0.14–0.06 (70%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Madden – Nystrom – Clutterbuck9:37
xG 0.33–0.36 (48%)attempts 11–10goals 0–0
- Cullen – Havlat – Latendresse11:08
xG 0.16–0.33 (32%)attempts 5–17goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestZanon – Zidlicky12:08
xG 0.36–0.21 (62%)attempts 8–10goals 1–1
- Barker – Falk16:41
xG 0.44–0.37 (55%)attempts 14–18goals 1–0
- Schultz – Burns14:51
xG 0.29–0.44 (40%)attempts 10–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).