Thu, Oct 21, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 2, Phoenix Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 07 | 113 | 110 | 230 |
| PHX | 216 | 16 | 15 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:30PHXLee StempniakAssists: Ed Jovanovski, Adrian Aucoin · Slap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 7:24PHXLee StempniakAssists: Taylor Pyatt, Eric Belanger · Wrist, 0.44 xG0–2
- P2 5:49PHXAndrew EbbettSHGWGAssists: Derek Morris, Ed Jovanovski · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–3
- P2 8:20LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Brayden Schenn · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–3
- P3 17:19LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.40 xG2–3
- P3 19:25PHXLee StempniakENAssists: Eric Belanger, Ed Jovanovski · Wrist, 0.55 xG2–4
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:21LAKDustin Brown: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:51LAKDavis Drewiske: Holding2 min
- P2 4:59PHXDavid Schlemko: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:23PHXTaylor Pyatt: Holding2 min
- P3 0:46LAKJarret Stoll: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Simmonds – Schenn9:08
xG 0.64–0.23 (74%)attempts 4–7goals 2–0
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll10:32
xG 0.25–0.19 (56%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Richardson – Westgarth – Schenn3:05
xG 0.02–0.01 (60%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Westgarth2:27
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Drewiske5:03
xG 0.60–0.10 (85%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Mitchell – Harrold17:05
xG 0.46–0.15 (75%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Johnson – Muzzin2:53
xG 0.07–0.05 (59%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestPyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak12:08
xG 0.85–0.23 (79%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Turris7:07
xG 0.19–0.01 (94%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Korpikoski – Ebbett5:15
xG 0.03–0.02 (57%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Whitney – Vrbata – Ebbett2:58
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAucoin – Ekman-Larsson17:21
xG 1.15–0.55 (68%)attempts 19–7goals 1–1
- Yandle – Schlemko13:22
xG 0.22–0.38 (37%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Jovanovski – Morris14:15
xG 0.30–0.50 (38%)attempts 7–21goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).