Sat, Oct 23, 2010·TD Garden, Boston
New York Rangers 3, Boston Bruins 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 210 | 19 | 011 | 330 |
| BOS | 111 | 116 | 010 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:34NYRArtem AnisimovPPAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Michal Rozsival · Wrist, 0.49 xG1–0
- P1 12:01NYRAlex FrolovAssists: Michael Sauer, Erik Christensen · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 19:55BOSZdeno CharaPPAssists: Mark Recchi, Nathan Horton · Slap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 0:48NYRMarc StaalGWGAssists: Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.12 xG3–1
- P2 12:27BOSNathan HortonAssists: David Krejci, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
Penalties (18)
- P1 4:20BOSMark Stuart: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:20NYRSean Avery: Instigator2 min
- P1 4:20NYRSean Avery: Fighting5 min
- P1 4:20NYRSean Avery: Misconduct10 min
- P1 5:34NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:20BOSDennis Seidenberg: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 12:37NYRDerek Boogaard: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:37BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:02BOSMilan Lucic: Interference2 min
- P1 15:17BOSMilan Lucic: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:17NYRBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 18:34NYRMichal Rozsival: Holding2 min
- P1 18:39NYRMarc Staal: Slashing2 min
- P2 7:04NYRBrandon Prust: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:59BOSGregory Campbell: Slashing2 min
- P2 13:46NYRDerek Boogaard: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:30BOSGregory Campbell: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 6:25BOSZdeno Chara: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Krejci
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Callahan – Anisimov9:42
xG 0.42–0.23 (64%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- White – Boogaard – Boyle2:03
xG 0.17–0.10 (62%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Boyle – Stepan3:19
xG 0.08–0.04 (64%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Avery – Stepan4:44
xG 0.04–0.08 (35%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSauer – Gilroy7:51
xG 0.45–0.28 (62%)attempts 11–10goals 1–0
- Rozsival – Staal13:36
xG 0.27–0.15 (65%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Girardi – Del Zotto11:08
xG 0.25–0.49 (34%)attempts 9–14goals 0–0
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Wheeler – Caron7:25
xG 0.23–0.03 (89%)attempts 8–3goals 0–0
- Recchi – Ryder – Seguin6:19
xG 0.16–0.24 (41%)attempts 9–6goals 0–1
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic9:21
xG 0.16–0.32 (33%)attempts 5–10goals 1–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Marchand6:23
xG 0.34–0.57 (38%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Hunwick6:01
xG 0.32–0.22 (60%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Ference – Stuart4:19
xG 0.21–0.16 (56%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Chara – Boychuk2:52
xG 0.01–0.03 (33%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).