Wed, Oct 27, 2010·United Center, Chicago
Los Angeles Kings 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 110 | 09 | 015 | 134 |
| CHI | 19 | 111 | 18 | 328 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:16CHIJake DowellAssists: Fernando Pisani, Duncan Keith · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 9:34LAKJustin WilliamsAssists: Davis Drewiske, Peter Harrold · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 1:18CHIViktor StalbergGWGAssists: Duncan Keith, Dave Bolland · Backhand, 0.33 xG1–2
- P3 17:55CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Patrick Kane, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–3
Penalties (5)
- P1 14:14CHIMarian Hossa: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:49LAKRyan Smyth: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:34LAKMatt Greene: Slashing2 min
- P3 8:03CHINick Boynton: Holding2 min
- P3 19:16LAKPeter Harrold: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Handzus won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestHandzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds10:53
xG 1.17–0.17 (87%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Brown – Richardson – Kopitar9:32
xG 0.53–0.39 (58%)attempts 10–9goals 0–1
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll11:34
xG 0.32–0.18 (64%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Clifford2:30
xG 0.14–0.04 (76%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Harrold2:54
xG 1.16–0.01 (99%)attempts 7–2goals 0–0
- Mitchell – Greene13:33
xG 0.79–0.15 (84%)attempts 20–10goals 0–0
- Harrold – Drewiske9:41
xG 0.36–0.21 (63%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBolland – Stalberg – Kane8:59
xG 0.39–0.17 (70%)attempts 9–4goals 1–1
- Pisani – Bickell – Dowell3:27
xG 0.14–0.08 (62%)attempts 3–4goals 1–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Brouwer6:20
xG 0.08–0.11 (42%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Sharp – Skille – Toews11:14
xG 0.17–0.35 (33%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook18:33
xG 0.99–0.92 (52%)attempts 20–20goals 2–1
- Cullimore – Hjalmarsson13:31
xG 0.12–0.71 (14%)attempts 11–15goals 0–0
- Boynton – Hendry13:57
xG 0.32–1.14 (22%)attempts 7–14goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).