Mon, Nov 1, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
Chicago Blackhawks 2, New York Rangers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 113 | 08 | 114 | 235 |
| NYR | 17 | 010 | 26 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:13CHITomas KopeckyPPAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Sharp · Tip-in, 0.23 xG1–0
- P1 19:39NYRBrandon DubinskyAssists: Artem Anisimov, Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–1
- P3 0:55NYRBrandon DubinskyPPAssists: Ryan Callahan, Artem Anisimov · Tip-in, 0.20 xG1–2
- P3 6:08CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–2
- P3 6:36NYRErik ChristensenGWGAssists: Brandon Prust, Michael Del Zotto · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:04CHIFernando Pisani: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:45NYRErik Christensen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:43NYRSean Avery: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:39CHIDuncan Keith: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 7:27NYRSean Avery: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 9:11CHITomas Kopecky: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:34NYRDan Girardi: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Christensen won the faceoff against Sharp
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDowell – Scott – Smith3:36
xG 0.18–0.09 (67%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Brouwer – Toews – Kane11:47
xG 0.58–0.64 (47%)attempts 20–8goals 1–0
- Kopecky – Sharp – Stalberg8:38
xG 0.61–0.83 (42%)attempts 12–9goals 0–2
- Pisani – Potulny – Skille6:15
xG 0.09–0.70 (12%)attempts 3–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook15:20
xG 1.05–0.80 (57%)attempts 32–9goals 1–1
- Campbell – Hendry2:22
xG 0.06–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Cullimore – Keith2:39
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFedotenko – Avery – Boyle8:16
xG 0.72–0.15 (82%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Frolov – Christensen – Prust9:46
xG 0.62–0.28 (69%)attempts 5–11goals 1–0
- Avery – Boyle – Stepan2:28
xG 0.03–0.02 (60%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- White – Stepan – Grachev5:02
xG 0.11–0.18 (38%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEminger – Sauer10:57
xG 0.79–0.12 (87%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Rozsival – Del Zotto10:56
xG 0.97–0.39 (72%)attempts 10–12goals 1–0
- Eminger – Girardi2:08
xG 0.00–0.08 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).