Fri, Nov 5, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark
New York Rangers 3, New Jersey Devils 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 14 | 18 | 18 | 320 |
| NJD | 011 | 012 | 010 | 033 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:35NYRBrandon DubinskyGWGAssists: Artem Anisimov, Alex Frolov · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–0
- P2 19:24NYRBrian BoylePPAssists: Dan Girardi, Artem Anisimov · Snap, 0.05 xG2–0
- P3 3:41NYRBrandon DubinskySHAssists: Todd White · Wrist, 0.43 xG3–0
Penalties (8)
- P1 18:41NJDAnton Volchenkov: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:41NJDDavid Clarkson: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:41NYRBrian Boyle: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:47NJDDainius Zubrus: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 0:15NJDIlya Kovalchuk: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:04NYRMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:17NJDDavid Clarkson: Boarding5 min
- P3 10:53NYRArtem Anisimov: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyle won the faceoff against Pelley
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestFedotenko – Boyle – Dubinsky2:52
xG 0.19–0.09 (67%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Fedotenko – Avery – Boyle7:15
xG 0.14–0.04 (75%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- White – Boogaard – Grachev2:08
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Frolov – Dubinsky – Anisimov7:29
xG 0.10–0.08 (55%)attempts 3–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Del Zotto10:18
xG 0.42–0.11 (79%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Eminger – Sauer11:12
xG 0.25–0.35 (42%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
- Staal – Girardi16:37
xG 0.18–0.42 (31%)attempts 5–18goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestArnott – Elias – Zubrus12:24
xG 0.37–0.27 (58%)attempts 14–6goals 0–0
- Langenbrunner – Kovalchuk – Zajac12:48
xG 0.30–0.22 (57%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
- Gionta – Vasyunov – Mills4:52
xG 0.27–0.22 (55%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Mair – Clarkson – Pelley3:36
xG 0.03–0.04 (40%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMagnan – Taormina8:48
xG 0.45–0.07 (86%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Volchenkov – Urbom8:51
xG 0.37–0.22 (63%)attempts 12–4goals 0–0
- Taormina – Urbom2:05
xG 0.03–0.02 (57%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).