Sat, Nov 6, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Nashville Predators 1, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 07 | 011 | 18 | 126 |
| LAK | 211 | 214 | 06 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:11LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Dustin Brown · Slap, 0.04 xG0–1
- P1 13:00LAKDustin BrownGWGAssists: Scott Parse, Anze Kopitar · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–2
- P2 6:47LAKRyan SmythAssists: Rob Scuderi, Justin Williams · Backhand, 0.08 xG0–3
- P2 10:47LAKJarret StollAssists: Jack Johnson, Justin Williams · Backhand, 0.36 xG0–4
- P3 17:36NSHShane O'BrienAssists: Cal O'Reilly, Sergei Kostitsyn · Slap, 0.02 xG1–4
Penalties (6)
- P1 14:08NSHJoel Ward: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:00LAKKevin Westgarth: Interference2 min
- P3 8:22NSHShane O'Brien: Holding2 min
- P3 12:49LAKWayne Simmonds: Holding2 min
- P3 14:40NSHSteve Sullivan: Interference2 min
- P3 19:30LAKDavis Drewiske: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Legwand won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Nashville Predators
Forward lines
- bestDumont – Smithson – Spaling6:11
xG 0.26–0.07 (79%)attempts 6–5goals 0–0
- Legwand – Smithson – Wilson3:32
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Goc – Tootoo – Kostitsyn6:53
xG 0.21–0.23 (47%)attempts 10–7goals 0–2
- Sullivan – Ward – O'Reilly2:28
xG 0.00–0.16 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestO'Brien – Franson2:04
xG 0.18–0.11 (62%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Bouillon – Weber16:05
xG 0.56–0.56 (50%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Klein – Sulzer3:28
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSmyth – Williams – Stoll9:52
xG 0.66–0.28 (70%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Brown – Parse – Kopitar13:57
xG 0.51–0.39 (57%)attempts 15–16goals 2–1
- Handzus – Ponikarovsky – Simmonds11:04
xG 0.42–0.32 (56%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Richardson – Westgarth – Clifford6:10
xG 0.15–0.08 (67%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Johnson9:47
xG 0.54–0.25 (68%)attempts 11–6goals 1–1
- Scuderi – Doughty6:58
xG 0.41–0.19 (68%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
- Greene – Johnson5:30
xG 0.44–0.30 (59%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).