Wed, Nov 10, 2010·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Boston Bruins 7, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 214 | 06 | 513 | 733 |
| PIT | 218 | 216 | 012 | 446 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:05PITArron AshamAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Matt Cooke · Wrist, 0.32 xG0–1
- P1 8:31BOSMark RecchiPPAssists: Tyler Seguin, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–1
- P1 16:24BOSBrad MarchandUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P1 16:58PITBrooks OrpikAssists: Evgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 15:44PITChris KunitzAssists: Kris Letang, Sidney Crosby · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–3
- P2 19:37PITSidney CrosbyPPAssists: Alex Goligoski, Kris Letang · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–4
- P3 3:49BOSNathan HortonAssists: Dennis Seidenberg, Matt Hunwick · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–4
- P3 4:04BOSZdeno CharaAssists: Jordan Caron, Mark Recchi · Snap, 0.09 xG4–4
- P3 12:40BOSShawn ThorntonGWGAssists: Gregory Campbell, Adam McQuaid · Wrist, 0.06 xG5–4
- P3 16:13BOSBlake WheelerAssists: Mark Recchi, Michael Ryder · Backhand, 0.15 xG6–4
- P3 19:34BOSMilan LucicENAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Nathan Horton · Wrist, 0.65 xG7–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:33BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:33PITEric Godard: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 6:35BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 6:35PITMax Talbot: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:25PITKris Letang: Hooking2 min
- P1 14:15PITArron Asham: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:21BOSAdam McQuaid: Fighting5 min
- P2 6:21PITArron Asham: Fighting5 min
- P2 12:51PITBrooks Orpik: Interference2 min
- P2 18:31BOSJordan Caron: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 13:51BOSGregory Campbell: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Crosby won the faceoff against Campbell
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Bergeron – Lucic13:37
xG 0.81–0.71 (54%)attempts 15–20goals 1–1
- Recchi – Wheeler – Caron8:53
xG 0.23–0.16 (59%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Ryder – Paille – Seguin6:46
xG 0.13–0.25 (34%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
- Thornton – Campbell – Marchand10:38
xG 0.23–1.13 (17%)attempts 12–15goals 2–2
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Hunwick4:13
xG 0.28–0.02 (93%)attempts 6–4goals 2–0
- Seidenberg – Stuart8:33
xG 0.35–0.22 (61%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Chara – Seidenberg5:41
xG 0.22–0.17 (57%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Pittsburgh Penguins
Forward lines
- bestKunitz – Malkin – Crosby4:03
xG 0.51–0.02 (97%)attempts 9–1goals 2–0
- Asham – Cooke – Malkin6:33
xG 0.85–0.38 (69%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Rupp – Kennedy – Letestu6:55
xG 0.25–0.11 (70%)attempts 7–4goals 0–1
- Adams – Godard – Talbot3:05
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartin – Michalek16:53
xG 1.37–0.53 (72%)attempts 25–11goals 1–0
- Orpik – Letang16:02
xG 0.98–0.47 (68%)attempts 27–11goals 1–1
- Goligoski – Lovejoy10:19
xG 0.17–0.34 (33%)attempts 7–13goals 0–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PIT's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PIT is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PIT − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).