Wed, Nov 10, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
St. Louis Blues 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 06 | 114 | 010 | 130 |
| CBJ | 312 | 313 | 210 | 835 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:49CBJJakub VoracekAssists: Derick Brassard, Rick Nash · Wrist, 0.25 xG0–1
- P1 10:30CBJJared BollGWGAssists: Kyle Wilson, Derek MacKenzie · Backhand, 0.02 xG0–2
- P1 16:36CBJRick NashAssists: Derick Brassard, Marc Methot · Snap, 0.41 xG0–3
- P2 3:46CBJJakub VoracekAssists: Kyle Wilson, Derick Brassard · Backhand, 0.11 xG0–4
- P2 10:58STLB.J. CrombeenAssists: Vladimir Sobotka · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–4
- P2 11:09CBJChris ClarkAssists: Samuel Pahlsson, Rostislav Klesla · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–5
- P2 13:37CBJR.J. UmbergerAssists: Nikita Filatov, Antoine Vermette · Snap, 0.12 xG1–6
- P3 1:22CBJChris ClarkAssists: Samuel Pahlsson, Derek Dorsett · Snap, 0.18 xG1–7
- P3 1:40CBJAntoine VermetteAssists: R.J. Umberger, Nikita Filatov · Wrist, 0.39 xG1–8
Penalties (23)
- P1 13:03CBJKris Russell: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 8:38CBJMarc Methot: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:38STLDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:58CBJDerek Dorsett: Cross checking2 min
- P2 10:58STLB.J. Crombeen: Slashing2 min
- P3 5:12STLNathan Oystrick: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:12CBJChris Clark: Fighting5 min
- P3 5:12CBJDerek Dorsett: Misconduct10 min
- P3 8:01STLCam Janssen: Misconduct10 min
- P3 8:01STLCam Janssen: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:01STLCam Janssen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 9:10CBJJakub Voracek: Interference2 min
- P3 9:10CBJJan Hejda: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:10STLDavid Backes: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:58CBJR.J. Umberger: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 9:58CBJR.J. Umberger: Misconduct10 min
- P3 9:58CBJR.J. Umberger: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:58STLBrad Boyes: Misconduct10 min
- P3 9:58STLBrad Boyes: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:32STLAlex Pietrangelo: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 12:21STLNathan Oystrick: High sticking2 min
- P3 19:44STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:44CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Berglund won the faceoff against Brassard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestBoyes – Steen – Backes2:02
xG 0.25–0.15 (63%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Boyes – Steen – Berglund6:50
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 10–3goals 0–2
- McDonald – Backes – Oshie9:05
xG 0.25–0.55 (32%)attempts 4–11goals 0–1
- McClement – Crombeen – D'Agostini6:07
xG 0.29–0.86 (25%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestStrachan – Cole2:27
xG 0.34–0.03 (91%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Johnson – Cole2:09
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Strachan – Nikitin2:18
xG 0.08–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Umberger – Filatov7:43
xG 1.24–0.26 (83%)attempts 12–4goals 2–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek10:37
xG 0.98–0.15 (87%)attempts 7–9goals 2–0
- MacKenzie – Wilson – Boll7:54
xG 0.09–0.04 (68%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Clark – Pahlsson – Dorsett9:32
xG 0.50–0.64 (44%)attempts 9–10goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestTyutin – Russell15:40
xG 0.89–0.60 (60%)attempts 15–23goals 2–1
- Hejda – Stralman14:28
xG 0.83–0.54 (61%)attempts 12–11goals 3–0
- Klesla – Methot12:30
xG 0.70–0.69 (51%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).