Wed, Nov 10, 2010·Honda Center, Anaheim
New York Islanders 0, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYI | 07 | 011 | 09 | 027 |
| ANA | 01 | 06 | 17 | 114 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 3:40ANASaku KoivuGWGAssists: Cam Fowler, Teemu Selanne · Slap, 0.09 xG0–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:11NYIZenon Konopka: Kneeing2 min
- P1 6:10ANASaku Koivu: Slashing2 min
- P1 17:15ANARyan Carter: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:30ANATodd Marchant: Holding2 min
- P2 11:34NYIRadek Martinek: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:34ANARyan Carter: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:34NYIRadek Martinek: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:36ANABobby Ryan: Holding the stick2 min
- P3 1:02ANARyan Carter: Holding2 min
- P3 13:33ANALubomir Visnovsky: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 15:49NYIZenon Konopka: Misconduct10 min
- P3 15:49NYIZenon Konopka: Game misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Bailey
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New York Islanders
Forward lines
- bestHunter – Nielsen – Martin8:08
xG 0.27–0.08 (77%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Weight – Sim – Konopka5:36
xG 0.22–0.07 (75%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Moulson – Grabner – Tavares5:41
xG 0.09–0.09 (47%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Comeau – Bailey6:49
xG 0.16–0.21 (44%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMottau – Gervais2:52
xG 0.42–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Eaton – Martinek7:57
xG 0.41–0.10 (81%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Gervais – Hillen4:00
xG 0.13–0.05 (72%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Perry – Ryan10:40
xG 0.53–0.27 (66%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Marchant – Bonino – Palmieri5:35
xG 0.06–0.26 (19%)attempts 4–5goals 0–0
- Selanne – Koivu – Blake9:11
xG 0.15–0.37 (29%)attempts 6–10goals 1–0
- Green – Parros – Carter8:30
xG 0.03–0.25 (10%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLydman – Visnovsky14:20
xG 0.39–0.31 (56%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Lilja – Sbisa10:24
xG 0.51–0.43 (54%)attempts 10–9goals 0–0
- Mara – Fowler13:48
xG 0.17–0.65 (21%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it NYI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − NYI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).