Wed, Nov 17, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 19 | 39 | 526 |
| LAK | 112 | 112 | 112 | 336 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:40CBJAndrew MurrayAssists: Derek Dorsett · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–0
- P1 9:06LAKMichal HandzusPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.46 xG1–1
- P2 11:22CBJRostislav KleslaAssists: Derek Dorsett, Mike Commodore · Slap, 0.05 xG2–1
- P2 18:38LAKRyan SmythAssists: Justin Williams, Drew Doughty · Wrap-around, 0.12 xG2–2
- P3 1:25LAKJustin WilliamsAssists: Jarret Stoll, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.33 xG2–3
- P3 3:48CBJJared BollAssists: Kyle Wilson, Andrew Murray · Slap, 0.04 xG3–3
- P3 16:48CBJRick NashGWGAssists: Derick Brassard, Jakub Voracek · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–3
- P3 19:21CBJRick NashENAssists: R.J. Umberger, Marc Methot · Wrist, 0.47 xG5–3
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:25LAKJustin Williams: High sticking2 min
- P1 7:59CBJRostislav Klesla: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 11:04LAKBrad Richardson: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:21LAKMatt Greene: Slashing2 min
- P2 1:19CBJKris Russell: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:10CBJMike Commodore: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 12:47LAKJarret Stoll: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Pahlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestMurray – Wilson – Boll6:09
xG 0.71–0.27 (73%)attempts 9–5goals 1–0
- Clark – Pahlsson – Dorsett11:38
xG 0.31–0.38 (45%)attempts 6–15goals 0–1
- Vermette – Umberger – Filatov11:58
xG 0.23–0.41 (36%)attempts 12–12goals 0–0
- Nash – Brassard – Voracek12:56
xG 0.44–0.69 (39%)attempts 12–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKlesla – Methot15:27
xG 0.83–0.30 (73%)attempts 13–12goals 1–0
- Hejda – Russell13:53
xG 0.66–0.36 (64%)attempts 14–14goals 1–0
- Commodore – Hejda2:22
xG 0.07–0.15 (31%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestSmyth – Williams – Stoll13:50
xG 0.99–0.38 (72%)attempts 18–12goals 2–0
- Brown – Richardson – Kopitar12:39
xG 0.51–0.37 (58%)attempts 21–8goals 0–0
- Lewis – Westgarth – Clifford4:48
xG 0.16–0.06 (72%)attempts 6–3goals 0–1
- Handzus – King – Simmonds8:18
xG 0.24–0.67 (26%)attempts 4–12goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestScuderi – Doughty14:11
xG 0.89–0.37 (71%)attempts 21–10goals 2–0
- Greene – Johnson8:04
xG 0.39–0.09 (81%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Johnson – Drewiske9:47
xG 0.32–0.25 (56%)attempts 8–12goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).