Sat, Nov 20, 2010·TD Garden, Boston
Los Angeles Kings 4, Boston Bruins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 27 | 110 | 08 | 01 | 1 | 426 |
| BOS | 014 | 28 | 117 | 02 | 0 | 341 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:57LAKBrad RichardsonAssists: Kevin Westgarth, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P1 11:17LAKMichal HandzusAssists: Davis Drewiske, Trevor Lewis · Snap, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 2:50LAKJarret StollAssists: Justin Williams, Rob Scuderi · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 4:30BOSBlake WheelerAssists: Tyler Seguin, Zdeno Chara · Snap, 0.25 xG3–1
- P2 11:57BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Shawn Thornton, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–2
- P3 13:44BOSPatrice BergeronPPAssists: Blake Wheeler, Mark Recchi · Wrist, 0.40 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 2. LAK Anze Kopitar stopped
- 3. BOS Tyler Seguin stopped
- 4. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
- 5. BOS Milan Lucic stopped
- 6. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
- 7. BOS Michael Ryder stopped
- 8. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
- 9. BOS Nathan Horton stopped
- 10. LAK Justin Williams stopped
- 11. BOS David Krejci stopped
- 12. LAK Michal Handzus scored
Penalties (10)
- P1 8:08BOSZdeno Chara: High sticking2 min
- P1 9:03LAKDustin Brown: Holding2 min
- P1 11:57LAKDavis Drewiske: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:48LAKJarret Stoll: Holding2 min
- P2 8:53BOSJohnny Boychuk: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:22BOSZdeno Chara: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:32BOSMilan Lucic: Cross checking2 min
- P2 18:40LAKJustin Williams: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 12:23LAKKyle Clifford: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 16:17BOSMark Recchi: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Campbell won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- Handzus – Simmonds – Clifford7:27
xG 0.07–0.12 (38%)attempts 3–6goals 0–0
- Richardson – Lewis – Westgarth4:39
xG 0.23–0.30 (43%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Smyth – Williams – Stoll10:02
xG 0.38–0.53 (42%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Brown – Kopitar – King10:57
xG 0.51–0.66 (43%)attempts 7–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHarrold – Drewiske8:34
xG 0.97–0.11 (90%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
- Scuderi – Doughty15:53
xG 0.13–0.47 (21%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
- Greene – Johnson14:11
xG 0.51–1.22 (29%)attempts 12–20goals 1–1
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Campbell – Marchand7:55
xG 0.76–0.11 (87%)attempts 18–4goals 0–0
- Ryder – Wheeler – Seguin4:48
xG 0.50–0.07 (87%)attempts 6–4goals 1–1
- Recchi – Bergeron – Caron6:45
xG 0.06–0.08 (42%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
- Horton – Krejci – Lucic10:21
xG 0.38–0.42 (48%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Hunwick11:00
xG 0.56–0.26 (69%)attempts 12–8goals 0–1
- Seidenberg – Stuart11:06
xG 0.47–0.26 (65%)attempts 16–7goals 0–1
- Chara – Ference13:50
xG 0.85–0.97 (47%)attempts 15–11goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 70% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (BOS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).