Sat, Nov 20, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Chicago Blackhawks 7, Vancouver Canucks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 92% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 010 | 412 | 319 | 741 |
| VAN | 07 | 09 | 112 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 4:59CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Marian Hossa, Patrick Kane · Deflected, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 7:25CHITroy BrouwerGWGAssists: Jake Dowell, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–0
- P2 13:48CHIBrent SeabrookPPAssists: Marian Hossa, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.09 xG3–0
- P2 15:35CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Tomas Kopecky, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.29 xG4–0
- P3 4:10CHIFernando PisaniAssists: Bryan Bickell · Snap, 0.18 xG5–0
- P3 5:55CHIFernando PisaniAssists: Dave Bolland · Slap, 0.25 xG6–0
- P3 11:29CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Nick Boynton · Wrist, 0.03 xG7–0
- P3 13:27VANMikael SamuelssonPPAssists: Ryan Kesler, Alexander Edler · Wrist, 0.19 xG7–1
Penalties (12)
- P1 2:55CHIPatrick Sharp: Tripping2 min
- P1 8:47CHIBryan Bickell: Cross checking2 min
- P1 15:16VANRaffi Torres: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:50VANDan Hamhuis: Interference2 min
- P2 2:14CHIBrent Seabrook: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:33VANTanner Glass: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 16:11VANAndrew Alberts: Boarding2 min
- P2 18:35VANMikael Samuelsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 1:51VANMikael Samuelsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:58VANAlexander Edler: Tripping2 min
- P3 8:24VANDan Hamhuis: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:04CHIBrent Seabrook: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Bolland
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDowell – Brouwer – Skille5:32
xG 0.57–0.16 (78%)attempts 8–5goals 1–0
- Pisani – Bolland – Bickell8:36
xG 0.45–0.06 (88%)attempts 3–8goals 2–0
- Hossa – Kopecky – Sharp5:58
xG 0.35–0.07 (83%)attempts 5–7goals 1–0
- Stalberg – Toews – Kane6:15
xG 0.44–0.36 (55%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestCullimore – Campbell10:00
xG 0.42–0.06 (87%)attempts 6–5goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson11:31
xG 0.50–0.20 (71%)attempts 9–11goals 1–0
- Boynton – Keith9:51
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Schaefer – Perrault – Glass6:45
xG 0.31–0.29 (52%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Burrows – Kesler – Raymond7:26
xG 0.08–0.30 (20%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen7:08
xG 0.16–0.41 (28%)attempts 5–5goals 0–2
- Samuelsson – Sedin – Sedin11:15
xG 0.15–0.59 (20%)attempts 15–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Ehrhoff – Edler2:15
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Alberts – Rome6:21
xG 0.02–0.10 (15%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Edler12:10
xG 0.37–0.60 (38%)attempts 9–10goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 92% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).