Sun, Nov 21, 2010·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Phoenix Coyotes 3, Vancouver Canucks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 08 | 27 | 113 | 328 |
| VAN | 010 | 210 | 07 | 227 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:22PHXScottie UpshallAssists: Nolan Yonkman · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
- P2 6:07PHXTaylor PyattAssists: David Schlemko · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 8:51VANChristian EhrhoffAssists: Mason Raymond, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–1
- P2 14:13VANTanner GlassAssists: Peter Schaefer, Andrew Alberts · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 5:52PHXTaylor PyattGWGAssists: Keith Yandle, Lee Stempniak · Deflected, 0.11 xG3–2
Penalties (3)
- P1 11:39VANJannik Hansen: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:09VANAaron Rome: Holding2 min
- P3 0:35VANRyan Kesler: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Korpikoski
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestBelanger – Upshall – Wolski10:44
xG 0.99–0.34 (75%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Doan – Prucha – Korpikoski6:55
xG 0.28–0.05 (85%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Pyatt – Fiddler – Stempniak6:06
xG 0.28–0.14 (66%)attempts 6–9goals 2–1
- Whitney – Vrbata – Hanzal13:41
xG 0.39–0.30 (56%)attempts 11–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYonkman – Schlemko9:23
xG 0.61–0.39 (61%)attempts 10–13goals 2–0
- Jovanovski – Lepisto18:21
xG 0.67–0.46 (59%)attempts 15–14goals 0–1
- Morris – Yandle18:19
xG 0.46–0.50 (48%)attempts 14–21goals 0–1
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestSamuelsson – Sedin – Sedin15:44
xG 0.51–0.33 (61%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Burrows – Kesler – Raymond17:00
xG 0.61–0.63 (49%)attempts 22–13goals 1–0
- Schaefer – Perrault – Glass4:03
xG 0.14–0.25 (36%)attempts 3–3goals 1–1
- Malhotra – Torres – Hansen10:40
xG 0.24–0.54 (31%)attempts 11–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestEhrhoff – Edler17:27
xG 0.72–0.52 (58%)attempts 23–14goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Bieksa19:52
xG 0.71–0.70 (50%)attempts 22–12goals 1–1
- Ehrhoff – Alberts2:21
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 71% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHX), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).